Rasmussen (8/19, likely voters incl. leaners, 7/23 in parens):
Jeanne Shaheen (D): 52 (51)
John Sununu (R-inc): 43 (45)
(MoE: ±4.0%)
Shaheen climbs back up to a nine point lead over Bununu. Right now, most observers seem to be waiting with bated breath to see what happens when Sununu starts to, well, actually campaign. He’s still sitting on a $5 million war chest that has largely gone untouched this cycle. When he starts to spend, will the gap close? Or will he end up like Rick Santorum, where all the money and brilliant ads in the world could not save his sorry ass from defeat in 2006?
SSP currently rates this race as Lean Democratic.
(Hat-tip: conspiracy)
If you mean by which Sununu will lose by 20 points, I don’t think at this point it’s there yet. My prediction for this race is Shaheen wins with 55%, and Sununu 45%.
Then again, if Sununu’s people pull another one of those phone jamming stunts like 6 years ago….Well, that probably won’t help too cause Democrats in NH are probably more driven to go out and vote. So even if Jeanne’s phones were jammed she may still end up with like a 53-47 win.